Former President Donald Trump pledged at rallies across the country to deport illegal immigrants en masse, a pledge he made during his first term but never fully realized.
The latest Fox News poll released Thursday found that two-thirds of voters favor such a policy. This is exactly the same as last December and an increase of 15 points since the question was first asked in 2015. Nearly a third oppose mass deportations.
Since 2015, support for deporting people living in the U.S. illegally has emerged across the board, but especially among non-white voters (+24 points in favor), Republicans (+21 points), rural voters (+20), and urban voters (+24 points in favor). +19 points). ), male (+16). Democrats are also more likely to favor it now, but by a smaller 8-point margin.
At the same time, support for allowing illegal immigrants with jobs to stay in the country and apply for legal status is decreasing. 58% of voters prefer people with jobs to stay, down 4 points from last year and 10 points from 2015.
Support for people with jobs to stay and apply for legal status has declined across most demographics, but Republicans are the driving force behind the decline, down 28 points from a decade ago. The Democratic Party is the opposite. They are more likely to prefer keeping it to a four-point margin.
Fox News poll: Trump leads Harris by 2 points nationally
Immigration was one of the top three issues of this election cycle, along with abortion and the economy (the No. 1 issue). A new Fox News survey is no different. 40% ranked the economy first, followed by immigration at 17% and abortion at 15%. Other problems don’t reach double digits.
When asked about the most important issue or factor that motivates them to vote, Trump supporters cited immigration (17%) and the economy (18%) as their biggest motivators. Supporters of Vice President Harris cited hatred of Trump (17%) as their motivation for voting, followed by abortion and protecting democracy (14% each). Just 1% of Harris supporters mentioned immigration.
President Trump appears to be doing better on immigration by 15 points, up from 10 points in September. This advantage is not new, as the former president has consistently beaten Harris and Biden on this issue.
Fox News Poll: Harris-Trump tight race in North Carolina
Nonetheless, one of the reasons the presidential race is so competitive is that one in ten voters (9%) who said immigration was their biggest problem backed Harris, and just under ten who thought Trump could handle the issue better. This is because one in three (13%) also said the same thing.
Overall, Trump has a two-point advantage over Harris in the presidential race among both registered and likely voters (50% to 48%), which is within the margin of error.
From the southern border to international war…
— Voters are increasingly likely to think the United States should do less when it comes to Ukraine and the war with Russia. 40% think the United States should do less, up 5 points since May and 14 points since 2022. About a quarter think we need to do more and a third say help is about adequate.
— Opinions on U.S. support for Israel are mixed. 32% said it was too supportive, 29% said it was not supportive enough, and 35% said it was about right. This was the situation around May when I asked the question last time. Since November 2023, the proportion saying there is insufficient support has increased (21% to 29%), while the proportion saying it is correct has decreased (45% to 35%). .
— Voters think Trump can handle the Middle East war better by 13 points (Trump 55% to Harris 42%). That’s an improvement over their seven-point lead in September.
Conducted October 11-14, 2024, under the direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News survey included interviews with a sample of 1,110 registered voters randomly selected from the National Voter File. is included. Respondents made real-time calls to interviewers via landline phones (129) and mobile phones (719), received text messages (262), and then completed the survey online. Results based on the full sample of registered voters and a subsample of 870 likely voters have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points. Sampling error associated with outcomes between subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can also affect results. Weights are typically applied to age, race, education, and region variables to ensure that respondents’ demographics are representative of the registered voter population. Sources for developing weight goals include the American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis, and Voter File data. Likelihood voters are based on a probabilistic statistical model based on past voting history, interest in the current election, age, education level, race, ethnicity, church attendance, and marital status.
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