A YouGov/Economist survey released Thursday found that few Americans believe former President Trump’s hush-money trial in New York will end in a conviction.
The decline seen in respondents from both parties compares to similar polls from last month.
At the end of April, about 39% of Democrats said they believed Trump would be convicted. Now that figure stands at 34%.
Among independents, 21% believed they were found guilty at the end of last month. In the new survey, it was 17%. Among Republican voters, that belief fell from 17% to 14%.
Overall, only 22% of Americans think Trump will be convicted in the Manhattan case. Trump faces 34 felony charges for allegedly falsifying business records related to compensation to former fixer Michael Cohen, who in 2006 paid $130,000 to porn star Stormy Daniels, who claimed she had an affair with the former president.
A similar survey released in mid-April found that 24% of Americans thought Trump would be convicted, while 36% said they thought the former president would not be convicted.
Perspectives on the seriousness of the incident have also changed little by little since the end of April.
About 90% of Democrats say they think the incident is “very or somewhat” serious, up 5 points.
Increases in independent and Republican voters were minimal.
About half of independent voters, 50%, now believe the incident is serious, three percentage points more than at the end of April. Among Republicans, it rose from 23% to 25%.
The survey was conducted on 1,813 American adults between May 5 and 7. The margin of error was 3%.
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