According to Gallup, about 4 in 10 registered voters in the U.S. plan to use early voting in 2024.
The pollster’s analysis of voting trends released Friday found that 40% of voters plan to vote early this year, but there is a 15-point gap between the parties.
In a recent survey, Democrats were more likely to plan to vote early, 46%, compared to Republicans (31%). Independents fall in the middle, with 43% saying they plan to vote before Election Day.
Gallup noted that the propensity to vote early has surged since 2004, breaking double digits in 2012 and 2020. The current advantage is similar to the 18-point deficit from the 2020 campaign.
This polarity is also evident across age groups. About 51% of voters over 65 said they would vote early. This is higher than the 41% of those aged 50 to 64 who responded the same way. The voter turnout among those under 50 was found to be 34%.
69% of registered voters say they will vote in person this election cycle. About 21% plan to vote by mail and 6% are unsure. Mail-in voter turnout in 2020 was 35%, the pollster explained.
About 77% of Republican voters said they would vote in person, which was higher than independent voters (66%) and Democratic voters (64%). A recent poll found that when it comes to voting by mail, Democrats (27%) are more likely to choose this option than independents (22%) and Republican voters (13%).
With less than a month until Election Day, The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s polling index shows Vice President Harris with a 2.9 point lead over former President Trump, 49.7% to 46.8%.
The analysis is based on a Gallup poll of 941 registered U.S. voters conducted September 16-28, before early voting began in most states. The sampling error was ±4% points at the 95% confidence level.
